IMPLEMENTASI PERAMALAN PENJUALAN IKAN LAUT UNTUK OPTIMASI PERSEDIAAN BAHAN BAKU (Studi Kasus di UD Harum Bungah Gresik)

  • Khanifatus Sa'diyah Universitas Qomaruddin
  • Narto Narto Universitas Qomaruddin

Abstract

Indonesian marine waters have high marine resource resources. One of Indonesia's seafood commodities is fish. With proper management and utilization, marine products become one of the promising business opportunities for the community, so that fisheries become one of the supporting sectors of national economic development. UD Harum is one of the businesses engaged in the fisheries sector as a supplier of marine fish raw material needs to meet the needs of the manufacturing industry. To optimize production planning to meet industry demand, forecasting of sea fish sales data forecasting in the previous period is needed to anticipate a shortage of raw materials. The purpose of this forecasting is to implement forecasting using the Single Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA) and Centered Moving Average (CMA) methods in forecasting sea fish sales at UD Harum and to find out the best forecasting results to increase sea fish sales at UD Harum. Forecasting results show forecasting using the Single Moving Average (3-monthly) and (5-monthly) methods respectively 8107.67 kg and 8399.4 kg. For the Weighted Moving Average (3-monthly) and (5-monthly) methods, the results of forecasting are 7268,963 kg and 7443,452, respectively. As for the Centered Moving Average (3-monthly) method with forecast results of 8107.67 kg. The forecasting method chosen to optimize sales is the Centered Moving Average method with a forecast value of 8107.67 kg and has the smallest forecasting error compared to other forecasting methods with a MAPE value of 0.30875 and MPE of -0.1720.

Author Biographies

Khanifatus Sa'diyah, Universitas Qomaruddin

Program Studi Teknik Industri, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Qomaruddin

Narto Narto, Universitas Qomaruddin

Program Studi Teknik Industri, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Qomaruddin

References

Ariyanto, Rudy, Dwi Puspitasari, and Fifi Ericawati. 2017. “Penerapan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing Pada Peramalan Produksi Tanaman Pangan.” Informatika Polinema 4(1):57–62.
Berutu, Sunneng Sandino, Eko Sediyono, and Priyo Sidik Sasongko. 2013. “Peramalan Penjualan Dengan Metode Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chin Tsaur.” HimsyaTech 11(1):1–11.
Gaspersz, Vincent. 2005. Total Quality Management. Jakarta: Gramedia Pustaka Utama.
Hartini, Sri. 2011. Teknik Mencapai Produksi Optimal. Ketiga. Bandung: CV Lubuk Agung.
Hernadewita, Yan Kurnia Hadi, Muhammad Julian Syaputra, and Donny Setiawan. 2020. “Peramalan Penjualan Obat Generik Melalui Time Series Forecasting Model Pada Perusahaan Farmasi Di Tangerang: Studi Kasus.” JOURNAL INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING & MANAGEMENT RESEARCH ( JIEMAR) 1(2):35–49.
Hidayati, R. .. 2016. “Pengaruh Teknologi Informasi, Kinerja Individual Dan Volume Penjualan Terhadap Peningkatan Laba Pada Usaha Makanan Kecil Menengah Di Yogyakarta.” Universitas Islam Indonesia.
Lowing, Tivani. 2020. “Analisis Manajemen Rantai Pasok Ikan Cakalang Di Tempat Pelelangan Ikan Tumumpa Kota Manado.” Jurnal EMBA 8(1):575–85.
Makridakis, S., C. Steven, V. E. Wheelwright, and McGee. 1999. Metode Dan Aplikasi Peramalan Jilid 2. Jakarta: Binarupa Aksara.
Marwan. 1991. Marketing. Yogyakarta: UPP-AMP YKPN.
Mulyono, S. 1999. Peramalan Bisnis Dan Ekonometrika. Yogyakarta: BPFE.
Nasution, Arman Hakim. 2006. Manajemen Industri. Yogyakarta: Andi Offset.
Poerwandi, B. S. ST. 2017. “BMKT Adalah Milik Bangsa Dan Identitas Kita Sebagai Negara Maritim.” Direktorat Jendral Pengelolaan Ruang Laut.
Syarif, Nanda Muhammad. 2010. “Analisis Peramalan Penjualan Produk Brand Dadung Pada PT. Mondrian Klaten.” Universitas Sebelas Maret.
Wijayanti, Ratna. 2018. “Pengendalian Persediaan Bahan Baku Dan Peramalan Penjualan Produk Terhadap Pencapaian Laba Perusahaan.” Pp. 134–47 in Prosiding Seminar Nasional Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Universitas PGRI Semarang.
Published
2021-05-30
How to Cite
SA'DIYAH, Khanifatus; NARTO, Narto. IMPLEMENTASI PERAMALAN PENJUALAN IKAN LAUT UNTUK OPTIMASI PERSEDIAAN BAHAN BAKU (Studi Kasus di UD Harum Bungah Gresik). JURNAL REKAYASA SISTEM INDUSTRI, [S.l.], v. 6, n. 2, p. 59-63, may 2021. ISSN 2621-1262. Available at: <http://ejournal.upbatam.ac.id/index.php/rsi/article/view/2643>. Date accessed: 19 sep. 2021. doi: https://doi.org/10.33884/jrsi.v6i2.2643.
Section
Articles

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Obs.: This plugin requires at least one statistics/report plugin to be enabled. If your statistics plugins provide more than one metric then please also select a main metric on the admin's site settings page and/or on the journal manager's settings pages.